When this year’s Oscar nominations were announced I did my usual batch of predictions, and promised to check in if I wanted to tweak my opinions. Well, here are the tweaks:
1. I think at this point it’s more likely that Melissa Leo will win the Supporting Actress Oscar than Amy Adams, who I had given my pick to on a coin toss between the two actresses. There’s also a great possibility that if The King’s Speech just steamrolls everything, Helena Bonham Carter will sneak up from behind and grab this. Which I would be fine with; I like me some Helena Bonham Carter.
2. I still think David Fincher is going to win Best Director, but I think the vote will be closer than I thought it would be a few weeks ago, and I think there’s a possibility that Tom Hooper might slip past based on a King’s Speech groundswell.
3. Likewise, I still think Chris Nolan has a chance with the Inception screenplay, but I think it’s less likely now, and again to the advantage of King’s Speech. If I had to pick between the two I would play it safe and pick King.
Basically I think there’s a real good chance that The King’s Speech is going to make it a long Oscar night for everyone else.
And there you have it.