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	<title>Whatever</title>
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		<title>Whatever</title>
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		<title>Cory Booker Gets It Right</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/27/cory-booker-gets-it-right/</link>
		<comments>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/27/cory-booker-gets-it-right/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 22:50:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The Newark mayor the subject of same-sex marriage, specifically in New Jersey, but generally applicable everywhere. When courts decide for same-sex marriage, those who oppose it say it should be the choice of legislatures. When legislatures decide for it, those who oppose it say it should be the choice of the voters. I have no [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17505&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>The Newark mayor</strong><strong> the subject of same-sex marriage,</strong> specifically in New Jersey, but generally applicable everywhere.</p>
<span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/27/cory-booker-gets-it-right/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/Y4Z7tl7Vy8U/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span>
<p>When courts decide for same-sex marriage, those who oppose it say it should be the choice of legislatures. When legislatures decide for it, those who oppose it say it should be the choice of the voters. I have no doubt whatsoever that if the voters decided for it, those who oppose it would be in the courts trying to stop it. The folks who oppose same-sex marriage don&#8217;t really want anyone to say it&#8217;s okay. They just want it not to exist.</p>
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		<title>Today&#8217;s Interesting Commercial Discovery</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/27/todays-interesting-commerical-discovery/</link>
		<comments>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/27/todays-interesting-commerical-discovery/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 18:07:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatever.scalzi.com/?p=17498</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I went to go make myself a cheese quesadillia today because cheese+tortilla+1 minute in the microwave = GAAAAHCHEEZYGOODNESS, and I noticed that we have two bags of tortillas in the refrigerator, but one is labeled &#8220;Original Wraps,&#8221; and the other is &#8220;Large Flour Tortillas.&#8221; The tortillas inside both are exactly the same &#8212; same size, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17498&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone" style="border:1px solid black;" src="http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7171/6771715555_c6981f49b7.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="331" /></p>
<p><strong>I went to go make myself a cheese quesadillia today</strong> because cheese+tortilla+1 minute in the microwave = GAAAAHCHEEZYGOODNESS, and I noticed that we have two bags of tortillas in the refrigerator, but one is labeled &#8220;Original Wraps,&#8221; and the other is &#8220;Large Flour Tortillas.&#8221; The tortillas inside both are exactly the same &#8212; same size, same calorie count, etc &#8212; but I also happen to notice that the &#8220;wraps&#8221; package is a six count package, while the &#8220;flour tortilla&#8221; package is an eight count package.</p>
<p>So then I went upstairs to my computer (taking my cheese quesadilla with me, because research is <em>hungry work</em>), to check to see what the pricing was on both packages. On Netgrocer.com <a href="http://shop.netgrocer.com/shop.aspx?&amp;strid=2D462&amp;shopurl=search.aspx&amp;sc=wwwNG_D1A024EE&amp;k=Mission%20Original%20Wraps">the 6-count package of Mission Wraps is $3.85</a>, while <a href="http://shop.netgrocer.com/shop.aspx?&amp;strid=2D462&amp;shopurl=search.aspx&amp;sc=wwwNG_D1A024EE&amp;k=Mission%20Large%20Tortillias">the 8-count package of Mission Large Flour Tortillas is $3.59</a>. The individual product &#8212; the flat, thin object made of flour &#8212; is exactly the same, but apparently if you call it a wrap, you can charge more, and offer fewer per package &#8212; than you can if you call it a tortilla.</p>
<p>Please note here that my methodology here is <em>highly</em> anecdotal &#8212; I have checked but one online retailer and but one brand of wrap/tortilla. That said, I wouldn&#8217;t be <em>entirely</em> surprised to discover that in a general sense &#8220;wraps&#8221; come in packages with fewer units in them, and that on a per unit basis they are significantly more expensive than when the same objects are called &#8220;tortillas.&#8221;</p>
<p>Why &#8220;wraps&#8221; might be more expensive than &#8220;tortillas&#8221; despite in fact being the same damn thing is an exercise I leave to the reader. I&#8217;d personally like to believe it&#8217;s something other than a food manufacturer and/or retailer catering to the latent <em>insecurities</em> of white people when presented with an ethnic food object as exotic as a <em>tortilla</em>. Whatever the reason, as a consumer tip, may I suggest that the next time you plan to make a wrap of some sort, that you head for the tortillas. You might save yourself a little cash.</p>
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		<title>Single Serving Scalzi</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/27/single-serving-scalzi/</link>
		<comments>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/27/single-serving-scalzi/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 17:05:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Hey there &#8212; Subterranean Press has released another on of my short stories for the Kindle and Nook: &#8220;Tale of the Wicked,&#8221; which originally showed up in the New Space Opera 2 anthology, back in 2009. It&#8217;s got spaceships and aliens and battles and computers and explosions, not necessarily in that order, and it&#8217;s a [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17495&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><img class="alignright" style="border:1px solid black;margin:3px 5px;" src="http://subterraneanpress.com/wordpress/wp-content/The%20Tale%20of%20the%20Wicked%20by%20John%20Scalzi.jpg" alt="" width="200" height="307" />Hey there</strong> &#8212; Subterranean Press has released another on of my short stories for the Kindle and Nook: &#8220;Tale of the Wicked,&#8221; which originally showed up in the <em>New Space Opera 2</em> anthology, back in 2009. It&#8217;s got spaceships and aliens and battles and computers and explosions, not necessarily in that order, and it&#8217;s a pretty good story if I do say so myself. Here&#8217;s the link to the <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Tale-Wicked-ebook/dp/B0071URWEO/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1327677000&amp;sr=8-1">Kindle</a> edition, and to the <a href="http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/the-tale-of-the-wicked-john-scalzi/1108428439?ean=2940014031431&amp;itm=1&amp;usri=john+scalzi+the+tale+of+the+wicked">Nook</a> edition. In the UK? There&#8217;s a Kindle edition for you too. Everywhere else in the world? Working on it.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft" style="border:1px solid black;margin:3px 5px;" src="http://subterraneanpress.com/wordpress/wp-content/An%20Election%20by%20John%20Scalzi.jpg" alt="" width="201" height="295" />While I&#8217;m pointing that out, this is also a fine time to note that SubPress also released a different short story of mine a few weeks back, which I completely forgot to mention because I was busy training were-badgers to do my dark bidding. Nevertheless I&#8217;m telling you now that &#8220;An Election,&#8221; my 2010 of a human guy running for a city council post in a district dominated by alien races, is also now available in <a href="http://www.amazon.com/An-Election-ebook/dp/B006UKNF74/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1326302768&amp;sr=8-1">Kindle</a> and <a href="http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/an-election-john-scalzi/1108161301?ean=2940013725843&amp;itm=1&amp;usri=john+scalzi+an+election">Nook</a> formats. it does not feature spacecraft and explosions, but it does feature aliens &#8212; quite a few of them &#8212; plus local politics and lots of humor. So I think you&#8217;ll dig it if you haven&#8217;t read it already. It&#8217;s also available on Amazon UK.</p>
<p>Both stories go for 99 cents in the US and 77, what? Pence? in the UK. Enjoy.</p>
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		<slash:comments>17</slash:comments>
	
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		<title>I Am Running For SFWA President (Again) (Again)</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/26/i-am-running-for-sfwa-president-again-again/</link>
		<comments>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/26/i-am-running-for-sfwa-president-again-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 22:17:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s come round that time when the Election Committee of the Science Fiction and Fantasy Writers of America makes its call for candidates to serve on our board. I have decided to step forward once more (last, last very last time I swear) as a candidate for President, a position to which I was first [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17488&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone" style="border-color:black;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;" src="http://scalzi.com/tbSCALZIposter3.jpg" alt="" width="450" height="300" /></p>
<p><strong>It&#8217;s come round that time when the Election Committee of the Science Fiction and Fantasy Writers of America</strong> makes its call for candidates to serve on our board. I have decided to step forward once more (last, last very <em>last</em> time <em>I swear</em>) as a candidate for President, a position to which I was first elected in 2010. I had originally intended to step down at the end of this term, but on reflection decided there were still some things I wanted to accomplish in the role, and it made sense to try them over the course of an additional year. Whether I get that year will be up to SFWA members, of course; they may be tired of me and my management style. In which case I hope they elect someone else, rather than, say, stabbing me Caesar-style at the Nebula Awards. Please, SFWA members: No stabbing. That&#8217;s pointy and hurts.</p>
<p>If you are a SFWA member, you may read <a href="http://www.sfwa.org/forum/index.php?/topic/3275-candidates-for-president/page__view__findpost__p__20931">my candidacy letter and platform in the SFWA Elections Forum</a>. For everyone else, to summarize, my platform this year focuses on threading the needle of creator rights in the electronic age, taking advantage of SFWA&#8217;s imminent incorporation in California to fundraise, particularly for our medical and legal funds, and to use new ideas to promote the literature of science fiction and fantasy. And since last year&#8217;s VOLCANO-POWERED LASER was completed and deployed (<em>bwa ha ha ha ha HAH ha</em>), I will this year work on bulking up on SFWA&#8217;s corps of HYPER-INTELLIGENT WERE-BADGERS, who will come in the night against all those who would try to mess with our members&#8217; livelihoods. That&#8217;s right, were-badgers. You think you&#8217;re ready to fight a were-badger. But really, you are <em>not</em>. You&#8217;re just not.</p>
<p>Let me also take a moment to note to the SFWA members among you that you may wish to consider to run for office as well, even for the position of President. There are five positions up for election: President, Vice-President, Secretary, Treasurer and Western Regional Director. SFWA does good work for its members and for writers, but that work is dependent on the service of volunteers, including board members. It&#8217;s entirely possible to serve on SFWA&#8217;s board and maintain an active career &#8212; I&#8217;ve written two books while serving on the board (and am working on one now) and will have released three by June 30. Serving on the board is work, but it&#8217;s not all-consuming. Think about what SFWA does for you, and then ask if it&#8217;s time for you to do for SFWA. <a href="http://www.sfwa.org/forum/index.php?/topic/3273-call-for-candidates/">Here&#8217;s the call for candidates, in SFWA&#8217;s forums</a>. Give it some thought, please.</p>
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		<title>She&#8217;s At It Again</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/26/shes-at-it-again/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 21:25:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[This is not the first time Krissy has been caught hugging babies with her teeth. But can you blame her? They are so tender! You could just eat them up! Just! Note: The baby survived, largely untasted.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17485&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone" style="border-color:black;border-style:solid;border-width:1px;" src="http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7158/6767487355_3d6a2e6790.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="282" /></p>
<p><strong>This is not the first time Krissy has been caught</strong> <a href="http://whatever.scalzi.com/2009/05/04/the-baby-appears-strangely-unconvinced-of-krissys-good-intentions/">hugging babies with her teeth</a>. But can you blame her? They are so tender! You could<em> just eat them up!</em> Just!</p>
<p>Note: The baby survived, <em>largely</em> untasted.</p>
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		<title>Old Man&#8217;s War Goes to Italy</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/26/old-mans-war-goes-to-italy/</link>
		<comments>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/26/old-mans-war-goes-to-italy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 15:28:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Hey, today&#8217;s a big day for me in the land of (some of) my ancestors! It&#8217;s the day that the Italian version of Old Man&#8217;s War hits bookstores. It&#8217;s been retitled Morire Per Vivere, which if Google Translate is to be trusted translates out to something like &#8220;Dying to Live.&#8221; Well, that&#8217;s not entirely unrelated [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17481&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright" style="border:1px solid black;margin:3px 5px;" src="http://www.gargoylebooks.it/site/sites/default/files/imagecache/product_detail/images/Morire%20per%20vivere.cover_.jpg" alt="" width="158" height="226" /><strong>Hey, today&#8217;s a big day for me</strong> in the land of (some of) my ancestors! It&#8217;s the day that <a href="http://www.gargoylebooks.it/site/content/morire-vivere">the Italian version of <em>Old Man&#8217;s War</em></a> hits bookstores. It&#8217;s been retitled <em>Morire Per Vivere</em>, which if Google Translate is to be trusted translates out to something like &#8220;Dying to Live.&#8221; Well, that&#8217;s not entirely unrelated to the events in the book, so, cool. I&#8217;d been hoping for a while that I would get a Italian book deal because with a name like Scalzi, I don&#8217;t know. I just felt like it would be nice to be in that market. And now I am. Thank you, <a href="http://www.gargoylebooks.it/site/">Gargoyle Books</a>.</p>
<p>For those of you wondering how I read in Italian, <a href="http://www.gargoylebooks.it/site/content/il-primo-capitolo-di-morire-vivere-di-john-scalzi">Gargoyle has posted the first chapter of OMW/MPV on its site here</a>; it&#8217;s the pdf link down there at the bottom. I took one quarter of Italian in college and did miserably at it, so someone will have to tell me if it&#8217;s a good translation. I&#8217;m going to assume it is.</p>
<p>In short: tell all your friends in the old country to go and buy it right this very second. <em>Grazie</em>.</p>
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		<title>Athena Experiences Complete Moral Outrage at the Merest Suggestion of Insincerity</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/25/athena-experiences-complete-moral-outrage-at-the-merest-suggestion-of-insincerity/</link>
		<comments>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/25/athena-experiences-complete-moral-outrage-at-the-merest-suggestion-of-insincerity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 01:56:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Seems that some people believe that the &#8220;Athena Vs. the LP&#8221; video was staged. Athena, naturally, responds: There, I think that should settle the question. More seriously: Come on, people. Athena: Not stupid, and as anyone who spends any time here knows, used to dad pulling out the camera and recording her, perchance to post [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17478&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Seems that <a href="http://www.geekologie.com/2012/01/painful-girl-handles-music-record-for-fi.php">some people</a></strong> believe that the &#8220;<a href="http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/18/athena-encounters-the-technology-of-the-ancients/">Athena Vs. the LP</a>&#8221; video was staged. Athena, naturally, responds:</p>
<span style="text-align:center; display: block;"><a href="http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/25/athena-experiences-complete-moral-outrage-at-the-merest-suggestion-of-insincerity/"><img src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/gSLfpTytlSM/2.jpg" alt="" /></a></span>
<p>There, I think that should settle the question.</p>
<p>More seriously: Come <em>on</em>, people. Athena: Not stupid, and as anyone who spends any time here knows, used to dad pulling out the camera and recording her, perchance to post here on the site. It&#8217;s not like I hid the camera in the greenery. So when I start filming her and telling her I want to show her something, it&#8217;s <em>possible</em> that she&#8217;s aware I&#8217;m looking for a reaction, and she <em>might</em> be in the mood to oblige me. In which case two things are simultaneously possible: One, that she actually is holding an LP for the first time and responding to it; two, that she might be doing a little bit of improv. The fact that people seem to be outraged that she&#8217;s not acting exactly like an Amazonian tribesman encountering his first iPod seems a bit silly.</p>
<p>People elsewhere also seem somewhat shocked and surprised that I might disable comments over at YouTube, which suggests that people elsewhere might be a little dim. I understand that there are people who believe they have a god-given right to be abusive cretins to a 13-year-old girl, but I&#8217;m not one of them, especially when the 13-year-old girl in question is my kid, and I have the ability to turn off the comments. Surprise! I do believe Rebecca Black still has her comments on; they can go bother her if they like.</p>
<p>Anyway, now the world has Athena&#8217;s official rebuttal to the critics. I&#8217;m sure they will be thrilled.</p>
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		<title>2012 Oscar Noms: Not Great For SF/F</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/25/2012-oscar-noms-not-great-for-sff/</link>
		<comments>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/25/2012-oscar-noms-not-great-for-sff/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 13:06:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Over at FilmCritic.com, I look at this year&#8217;s Academy Award nominations and what they mean for science fiction and fantasy (short answer: not much). But when you have a mediocre year in SF/F films, you shouldn&#8217;t expect much in the way of Oscar love. Check it out, and leave any thoughts you have on the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17472&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone" style="border:1px solid black;" src="http://www.filmcritic.com/features/assets_c/2012/01/hugo-555-thumb-560xauto-42356.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="316" /></p>
<p><strong>Over at FilmCritic.com,</strong> I look at <a href="http://www.filmcritic.com/features/2012/01/academy-award-nominations-2012-not-best-year-for-scifi/">this year&#8217;s Academy Award nominations and what they mean for science fiction and fantasy</a> (short answer: not much). But when you have a mediocre year in SF/F films, you shouldn&#8217;t expect much in the way of Oscar love. Check it out, and leave any thoughts you have on the topic there.</p>
<p>And for a slightly different take, here&#8217;s Tor.com explaining <a href="http://www.tor.com/blogs/2012/01/sff-has-strong-showing-in-the-2012-oscar-nominations">why it was a <em>fantastic</em> year for science fiction and fantasy at the Oscars</a>. This is because they claim <em>Hugo</em> and <em>Midnight in Paris</em> as science fiction/fantasy films, and I don&#8217;t. I explain why in my column.</p>
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		<title>The Oscar Prediction Post, 2012</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/24/the-oscar-prediction-post-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/24/the-oscar-prediction-post-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jan 2012 17:58:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://whatever.scalzi.com/?p=17466</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As I do every year when the Academy Award nominations come out, I put on my film critic hat and try to guess which nominees are eventually going to walk away with Oscar gold. This year&#8217;s nomination slates are frankly wacky, so I can say without hesitation that I wouldn&#8217;t put a huge amount of [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17466&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>As I do every year when <a href="http://theenvelope.latimes.com/news/la-env-oscars-winners-nominees-scorecard-2012,0,2535525.htmlstory">the Academy Award nominations come out</a>,</strong> I put on my film critic hat and try to guess which nominees are eventually going to walk away with Oscar gold. This year&#8217;s nomination slates are frankly wacky, so I can say without hesitation that I wouldn&#8217;t put a huge amount of stock in my guesses at the moment &#8212; but that&#8217;s fine since I usually do a follow-up right before the award ceremony in which I factor in everything that&#8217;s changed in the race. So, having hedged myself sufficiently, here are my guesses, right now.</p>
<p><strong>BEST PICTURE</strong><br />
&#8220;The Artist&#8221; Thomas Langmann, Producer<br />
&#8220;The Descendants&#8221; Jim Burke, Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor, Producers<br />
&#8220;Extremely Loud &amp; Incredibly Close&#8221; Scott Rudin, Producer<br />
&#8220;The Help&#8221; Brunson Green, Chris Columbus and Michael Barnathan, Producers<br />
&#8220;Hugo&#8221; Graham King and Martin Scorsese, Producers<br />
&#8220;Midnight in Paris&#8221; Letty Aronson and Stephen Tenenbaum, Producers<br />
&#8220;Moneyball&#8221; Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz and Brad Pitt, Producers<br />
&#8220;The Tree of Life&#8221; Nominees to be determined<br />
&#8220;War Horse&#8221; Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy, Producers</p>
<p>After two years in which the Best Picture field had ten slots, the Academy instituted a new rule that allows for up to ten nominees, but all nominees must have at least 5% of the nomination vote (or something like that). This year apparently only nine films got more than 5% of the nomination vote. This still allows for a wide range of nominees, and this year&#8217;s Best Picture slate is commercially and artistically diverse. But who cares about that? We want to guess who will win.</p>
<p>First step: Toss out every nominee whose director is not nominated this year, since it is very rare for a film to win Best Picture without its director also being nominated (the last time it happened was 1988, with <em>Driving Miss Daisy</em>). So long <em>Extremely Loud, The Help, Moneyball</em> and <em>War Horse</em>.</p>
<p>After that I suspect <em>Midnight in Paris</em> is next off. Usually I&#8217;d say it&#8217;s because it&#8217;s a comedy and comedies don&#8217;t win Oscars (the last straight up comedy to win was Allen&#8217;s own <em>Annie Hall</em>, 35 years ago), but this year is different on that score. I don&#8217;t think it will win because even though this is considered Allen&#8217;s best picture since <em>Hannah and Her Sisters</em>, it&#8217;s arguable that it is as good as Allen&#8217;s films were in his heyday, and anyway, everyone knows he won&#8217;t come to the ceremony anyway. Next off from there is <em>The Tree of Life</em>; I think nominating Terrance Malick films is the closest thing the Academy members have to being hipsters, and that&#8217;s not enough to take home the statue.</p>
<p>After that things get wonky for me. <em>Hugo</em> has been having a hell of a run, and you can argue that even with awards for <em>The Departed</em> that the Academy still owes Martin Scorsese some Oscars; if <em>Departed</em> caught them up for <em>Raging Bull, Hugo</em> would catch them up for <em>Goodfellas</em>. But at the end of the day this is a family film, and that presents a problem. Not because a family film can&#8217;t be brilliant &#8212; please, don&#8217;t paint me with that brush &#8212; but because the last full-on family film to win the Best Picture Oscar (if you don&#8217;t count <em>Slumdog Millionaire</em>, and I don&#8217;t, because it wasn&#8217;t marketed that way) is <em>Oliver!</em> back in 1968. I think the Academy sees family films like it generally sees comedies: nice to nominate occasionally but not something you&#8217;d usually let win. The Scorsese name counts for something, but ultimately it&#8217;s not going to be enough.</p>
<p>So it comes down to <em>The Artist</em> and <em>The Descendants</em>, and why this is an unusual year: Both of them are comedies, with varying amounts of drama in them, and that&#8217;s kind of mindblowing (the Golden Globes put <em>The Descendants</em> in its Drama category, which suggests that those folks were more interested in their awars ratings than anything else). The question is which of these the Academy will choose. On one hand <em>The Descendants</em> has George Clooney at the top of his game, and Alexander Payne has been plugging away for years with films that are best described as &#8220;comfortably auteurish,&#8221; of which this film may be the very best example. So giving the award to this film would be something of a career award. On the other hand <em>The Artist</em> is genuinely novel (a silent, black and white film in 2011), is not just a stunt, which is something just short of a miracle, has a hell of a lot of momentum coming out of the Golden Globes and &#8212; this is not trivial &#8212; is distributed by The Weinstein Company, which means that Harvey Weinstein will be doing his thing of corralling Oscar votes. Given that Weinstein managed to jam <em>Shakespeare in Love</em> over <em>Saving Private Ryan</em> and <em>The King&#8217;s Speech</em> over <em>The Social Network</em> (as just two examples), if one of his films is a contender, you can&#8217;t count him out.</p>
<p>If I&#8217;m going to pick now, I&#8217;d go for <em>The Descendants.</em> But I have no confidence in that pick, and think Harvey Weinstein is perfectly capable of cutting enough balls to push <em>The Artist</em> over the top. Let&#8217;s check back just before the awards and see how I feel.</p>
<p>Will Win: The Descendants<br />
Should Win: The Artist</p>
<p><strong>BEST DIRECTOR</strong><br />
Michel Hazanavicius, &#8220;The Artist&#8221;<br />
Alexander Payne, &#8220;The Descendants&#8221;<br />
Martin Scorsese, &#8220;Hugo&#8221;<br />
Woody Allen, &#8220;Midnight in Paris&#8221;<br />
Terrence Malick, &#8220;The Tree of Life&#8221;</p>
<p>Allen out first; it&#8217;s not his year (and he&#8217;s got three Oscars anyway). Malick out next; I see him getting one of those Lifetime Achievement Oscars in the not-too-distant future. Of the three remaining it&#8217;s a toss up for me, since I think Scorsese has a tremendous amount of good will in the Academy, Payne is at the top of his form and Hazanavicius pulled off a silent, black and white film in the 21st century. Flipping a three-sided coin, I&#8217;m going to give it to Payne since I am nominally guessing <em>The Descendants</em> will win Best Picture, but again: No confidence and watch out for Hazanavicius getting a Weinstein boost.</p>
<p>Will Win: Payne<br />
Should Win: Hazanavicius</p>
<p><strong>LEAD ACTRESS</strong><br />
Glenn Close, &#8220;Albert Nobbs&#8221;<br />
Viola Davis, &#8220;The Help&#8221;<br />
Rooney Mara, &#8220;The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo &#8220;<br />
Meryl Streep, &#8220;The Iron Lady&#8221;<br />
Michelle Williams, &#8220;My Week With Marilyn&#8221;</p>
<p>Rooney Mara is having a good year but it&#8217;s not going to extend all the way to winning an Oscar, especially with this lineup. After that, who knows? Normally I discount any Streep nomination because she&#8217;s seemingly nominated regardless, but this year she&#8217;s playing Margaret Thatcher and the extra historical personage tang might mean something (one disadvantage: Streep&#8217;s performance is generally seen as the best thing about the film). Michelle Williams is also playing a beloved icon &#8212; in this case Marilyn Monroe &#8212; but I wonder if she&#8217;s stuck doing time in what I used to call the Kate Winslet cage, i.e., everyone assuming she will win an Oscar at some point, but maybe just not yet. Close&#8217;s film has been little-seen but this would be a fine time to give her a career award. Any of the three could take it but in the what I think is most likely is that Viola Davis will, not just for her performance in <em>The Help</em> (which is by all indications worthy) but because, like Sandra Bullock&#8217;s win for <em>The Blind Side</em>, it will be the recognition that particular Best Picture-nominated film will get for all of its efforts.</p>
<p>Will Win: Davis<br />
Should Win: Davis</p>
<p><strong>LEAD ACTOR</strong><br />
Demián Bichir, &#8220;A Better Life&#8221;<br />
George Clooney, &#8220;The Descendants&#8221;<br />
Jean Dujardin, &#8220;The Artist&#8221;<br />
Gary Oldman, &#8220;Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy &#8220;<br />
Brad Pitt, &#8220;Moneyball&#8221;</p>
<p>Ever heard of Bichir before? Neither have I. His nomination is fantastic, because it means the folks in the actor&#8217;s branch really are searching high and low for the best performances, no matter where they are and who performs them. I wish Bichir well and all future success. He has no chance. On the other side of the spectrum, it&#8217;s somewhat appalling to consider that this is Oldman&#8217;s first Oscar nomination &#8212; seriously, Academy voters, what the hell? &#8212; and aside from what is by all accounts a rock solid performance in <em>Tinker</em>, I would be inclined to give the man the Oscar as a career award. But this year may not be the year for that. Pitt I think has a good chance simply for being Pitt (i.e., a movie star who also is serious about the acting), but in the end I think it will come down to Clooney and Dujardin. Dujardin has the flashier performance (you try acting without talking for a whole film) but Clooney&#8217;s willingness to play a schlub despite looking like, you know, <em>George Clooney</em>, is probably going to count for something. I&#8217;m going to call it for Dujardin on the grounds that it&#8217;s unpossible that Clooney won&#8217;t be back here again (hell, he&#8217;s got a <em>screenwriting nomination</em> this year), but I also note that&#8217;s probably me projecting.</p>
<p>Will Win: Dujardin<br />
Should Win: Oldman</p>
<p><strong>SUPPORTING ACTRESS</strong><br />
Bérénice Bejo in &#8220;The Artist&#8221;<br />
Jessica Chastain in &#8220;The Help&#8221;<br />
Melissa McCarthy in &#8220;Bridesmaids&#8221;<br />
Janet McTeer in &#8220;Albert Nobbs&#8221;<br />
Octavia Spencer in &#8220;The Help&#8221;</p>
<p>Spencer out first; <em>Nobbs</em> is little seen and the spotlight there, I think, is on Close. Bejo out next, although like Ginger Rogers with Astaire, she&#8217;s doing everything Jean Dujardin is doing, backwards and in heels. I think there&#8217;s a fine chance that Spencer and Chastain will cancel each other out although of the two I could see Chastain pulling through, in part because of solid performances this year as well in <em>Tree of Life</em> and <em>The Debt.</em> But you know what? I think the Academy is going to want to give it to McCarthy, both for her performance and as recognition for <em>Bridesmaids</em> in general. And I would applaud such an award, personally.</p>
<p>Will Win: McCarthy<br />
Should Win: McCarthy</p>
<p><strong>SUPPORTING ACTOR</strong><br />
Kenneth Branagh in &#8220;My Week with Marilyn&#8221;<br />
Jonah Hill in &#8220;Moneyball&#8221;<br />
Nick Nolte in &#8220;Warrior&#8221;<br />
Christopher Plummer in &#8220;Beginners&#8221;<br />
Max von Sydow in &#8220;Extremely Loud &amp; Incredibly Close&#8221;</p>
<p>Wow, I have absolutely no idea about this category at all, except to suggest it&#8217;s probably not going to be Jonah Hill. Otherwise it&#8217;s Pick Your Favorite Woefully Overlooked Actor day. If we were going purely by most nominations, you&#8217;d have to give it to Branagh, since he&#8217;s been nominated four times before, twice as many as the next nearest (Nolte, who was nominated twice before). But then Plummer and von Sydow are both pretty damn old, and, sorry, that&#8217;s a factor in this category. On the other hand Nolte possibly has the oldest vital organs of any of them. Honestly, who can say. I do know that if Hill does win it, he&#8217;s going to get pummeled by senior citizens. I&#8217;m going to go with von Sydow for no other reason than that the power of Christ compels me, although personally I have a soft spot for Branagh (who is playing Laurence Olivier here to boot) so he&#8217;s probably who I would vote for myself.</p>
<p>Will Win: von Sydow<br />
Should Win: Branagh</p>
<p><strong>Other categories:</strong> I have a hunch<em> Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy</em> might get a nod in Adapted Screenplay, while I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised the <em>The Artist</em> gets it in Original Screenplay, especially if it&#8217;s seen as a compensation Oscar for Michel Hazanavicius. I would likewise not be surprised if <em>The Artist</em> gets cinematography. I&#8217;d like to note that <em>Cars 2</em> isn&#8217;t an Animated Feature Film nominee this year, which I think is correct; it&#8217;s the worst Pixar film by a considerable margin (which means, mind you, that it&#8217;s no worse than the average Dreamworks Animation feature). I&#8217;m going to guess <em>Rango</em> gets it this year because I suspect director Gore Verbinski is well-liked.</p>
<p>Your thoughts?</p>
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		<title>Redshirts, In ARC Form</title>
		<link>http://whatever.scalzi.com/2012/01/24/redshirts-in-arc-form/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jan 2012 14:20:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Scalzi</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[I mentioned in my con report that I had received an ARC of Redshirts, my upcoming novel; for those of you who are for some reason skeptical about that (why? why?) here it is on my desk. And before you ask, no, it has not been licked. That was a one-time thing, people. I think [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=whatever.scalzi.com&amp;blog=21793&amp;post=17464&amp;subd=scalzi&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p><strong>I mentioned in my con report</strong> that I had received an ARC of <em>Redshirts</em>, my upcoming novel; for those of you who are for some reason skeptical about that (why? <em>why?</em>) here it is on my desk. And before you ask, no, it has not been licked. That was a one-time thing, people.</p>
<p>I think most of you know that ARC is an acronym for Advance Reader Copy, which is the version of the book publishers give to reviewers and booksellers so they can do their respective evaluations. It&#8217;s the text of the book, prior to a final sweep for text errors and possibly a few edits. The ARCs of <em>The Ghost Brigades</em>, for example, was missing a sentence or two from the final page.</p>
<p>In addition to the text of the novel, the ARC also often lets booksellers and other interested parties (including the author him or herself) know what the promotion and marketing plans for the book are. As an example, here&#8217;s the plan for <em>Redshirts</em>:</p>
<p><img class="alignnone" style="border:1px solid black;" src="http://farm8.staticflickr.com/7008/6754814761_49fd34b955.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="331" /></p>
<p>I knew most of this, although a couple of things were a surprise to me. Hey! I&#8217;m gonna do <em>Redshirt</em> podcasts! Well, okay. It could be fun. Also, consider this the announcement that yes, I <em>will</em> be doing a book tour this year, almost certainly in June, which is when the book is out. No, I don&#8217;t know which cities, and if you tell me &#8220;you should come to [insert city here]!&#8221; I&#8217;ll do what I usually do, which is to say, that would be fantastic but it&#8217;s not up to me, since I go where they tell me. I&#8217;ll also note that these noted marketing plans aren&#8217;t everything; between now and the release date I may have a few surprises for you.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s all very nice, you say, but what I <em>really</em> want is an ARC. Well, if you&#8217;re a reviewer you can request one from Tor; they&#8217;re putting together a list. My own set of ARCs is at this point entirely claimed, <em>except for one</em>. Which I will probably give away here&#8230; after I devise some nefarious contest that pits all of you against each other in a bloody fray BWA HA HA HAH HA HAH HA.</p>
<p>Sorry, I really need to stop typing when my id takes over. Point is: Yes, I&#8217;ll do a giveaway here at some point. Be vigilant.</p>
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