Why I Expect Issue 2 is Headed for a Big Defeat on Tuesday
The grainy cell phone camera shot explains it: When you have people who are conservative enough to post a pro-life banner on their front lawn, and yet also want the anti-union Issue 2 to go swirling, it suggests that the legislators in Columbus who voted to strip public workers of most of their ability to collectively bargain have really lost the plot. Another clue: In Darke County, where I live, which is in John Boehner’s representative district and which voted 68% for McCain in the last election, I have seen quite a few “No on 2” banners and have yet to see one for “Yes on 2.” They may exist, but they sure seem outnumbered.
However, it’s for this same reason that I think those folks who think if Ohio votes down 2 that it automatically heralds the a comeback for the Democrats are probably deluding themselves. Darke County ain’t going Democrat, folks; I guarantee whoever the GOP candidate turns out to be next year is going to get 60+% of the vote here, just like they have done for the last several presidential election cycles. Likewise, Ohio remains the same deeply purple state it was before (which is to say, bright red in the rural areas, bright blue in the urban parts; whichever party wants Ohio in its ledger is going to have to work its ass off for it.
Issue 2 doesn’t seem to be wholly a red or blue issue, however. In the Venn diagram of this particular subject, there appears to be a whole lot of overlap. I don’t consider this to be a bad thing.